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Climate changes during the mid- to late-Holocene, after the last vestiges of glacial ice sheets dwindled, provide important context for climate change today. In the tropical Andes, most of the continuous paleoclimate records covering the late Holocene are derived from the oxygen isotope composition of ice cores, speleothems, and lake carbonates. These archives are powerful recorders of large-scale changes in circulation and monsoon intensity, but they do not necessarily capture local moisture balance, and so reconstructions of local precipitation and aridity remain scarce. Here we present contrasting histories of local effective moisture vs. regional circulation from several new biomarker records preserved in lakes and peat in the Colombian and Peruvian Andes. We focus on the hydrogen isotope composition of long-chain plant waxes, which reflects precipitation δ2H similarly to δ18O from ice cores and speleothems; and the δ13C of waxes and the δ2H of mid-chain waxes, which reflect local water stress and effective moisture. In both the Northern and Southern Hemisphere tropical Andes, fairly gradual δ2H shifts during the late Holocene indicate a progressive intensification of circulation in the South American lowlands. On the other hand, plant wax δ13C and mid-chain δ2H records indicate abrupt transitions into and out of intervals of water stress and aridity – similar to findings from pollen and sediment lithology from elsewhere in the tropical Andes. We draw on climate models and proxy data syntheses to help reconcile these curiously different accounts of effective moisture in the tropical Andes since the mid-Holocene and discuss implications for modern climate research. 

Abstract The impact of latitudinal variations in the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) on northern Andean hydroclimate during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA; 950–1,150 CE) and Little Ice Age (LIA; 1,300–1,850 CE) is uncertain. Synthesis of two new lacustrine paleoclimate records from the Eastern Colombian Andes with existing circum‐Andean records shows that effective moisture anomalies were synchronous and in phase across the tropical Andes during the last millennium. During the MCA, when the ITCZ was shifted northward, topographically controlled responses in the northern Andes to vigorous atmospheric convection resulted in low precipitation and high evaporation, while precipitation was also reduced in the southern tropical Andes. During the LIA, precipitation decreased in the northern Andes as the ITCZ migrated southward but was offset by cooling that lowered evaporation, establishing high effective moisture. In the southern tropical Andes, the southward ITCZ position simultaneously strengthened precipitation, increasing effective moisture. MCA‐like responses to continued warming trends could similarly reduce northern Andean precipitation while increasing evaporation, thereby lowering effective moisture and possibly reducing water resource availability. 

High-resolution terrestrial records of Holocene climate from Southern California are scarce. Moreover, there are no records of Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) variability, a major driver of decadal to multi-decadal climate variability for the region, older than 1,000 years. Recent research on Lake Elsinore, however, has shown that the lake’s sediments hold excellent potential for paleoenvironmental analysis and reconstruction. New 1-cm contiguous grain size data reveal a more complex Holocene climate history for Southern California than previously recognized at the site. A modern comparison between the twentieth century PDO index, lake level change, San Jacinto River discharge, and percent sand suggests that sand content is a reasonable, qualitative proxy for PDO-related, hydrologic variability at both multi-decadal-to-centennial as well as event (i.e. storm) timescales. A depositional model is proposed to explain the sand-hydrologic proxy. The sand-hydrologic proxy data reveal nine centennial-scale intervals of wet and dry climate throughout the Holocene. Percent total sand values >1.5 standard deviation above the 150–9,700 cal year BP average are frequent between 9,700 and 3,200 cal year BP (n = 41), but they are rare from 3,200 to 150 cal year BP (n = 6). This disparity is interpreted as a change in the frequency of exceptionally wet (high discharge) years and/or changes in large storm activity. A comparison to other regional hydrologic proxies (10 sites) shows more then occasional similarities across the region (i.e. 6 of 9 Elsinore wet intervals are present at >50% of the comparison sites). Only the early Holocene and the Little Ice Age intervals, however, are interpreted consistently across the region as uniformly wet (≥80% of the comparison sites). A comparison to two ENSO reconstructions indicates little, if any, correlation to the Elsinore data, suggesting that ENSO variability is not the predominant forcing of Holocene climate in Southern California.